Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 0.000171 0.000189 0.000209 0.000232 0.000258 0.000286 0.000319
2025-05-04 0.000135 0.000161 0.000192 0.000230 0.000278 0.000335 0.000409
2025-05-11 0.000115 0.000145 0.000182 0.000232 0.000298 0.000383 0.000503
2025-05-18 0.000100 0.000131 0.000173 0.000231 0.000312 0.000422 0.000587
2025-05-25 0.000089 0.000121 0.000165 0.000229 0.000323 0.000459 0.000672
2025-06-01 0.000079 0.000111 0.000157 0.000226 0.000332 0.000490 0.000754
2025-06-08 0.000070 0.000102 0.000147 0.000218 0.000331 0.000508 0.000814
2025-06-15 0.000066 0.000097 0.000144 0.000221 0.000347 0.000552 0.000924
2025-06-22 0.000062 0.000094 0.000143 0.000225 0.000365 0.000602 0.001052
2025-06-29 0.000057 0.000088 0.000136 0.000220 0.000368 0.000625 0.001133
2025-07-06 0.000051 0.000081 0.000127 0.000211 0.000360 0.000630 0.001180
2025-07-13 0.000048 0.000077 0.000125 0.000211 0.000371 0.000668 0.001297
2025-07-20 0.000046 0.000075 0.000124 0.000215 0.000390 0.000726 0.001469
2025-07-27 0.000043 0.000071 0.000120 0.000214 0.000399 0.000767 0.001614
2025-08-03 0.000041 0.000069 0.000119 0.000216 0.000414 0.000822 0.001803
2025-08-10 0.000038 0.000066 0.000115 0.000215 0.000422 0.000863 0.001966
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000063 0.000112 0.000213 0.000429 0.000905 0.002139
2025-08-24 0.000033 0.000060 0.000108 0.000210 0.000434 0.000940 0.002302
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000056 0.000103 0.000203 0.000428 0.000949 0.002399
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000054 0.000102 0.000205 0.000444 0.001014 0.002662
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000053 0.000102 0.000210 0.000464 0.001093 0.002984
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000051 0.000098 0.000205 0.000464 0.001118 0.003151
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000047 0.000092 0.000196 0.000451 0.001110 0.003215